OUR 9TH YEAR OF PROVIDING PROPRIETARY CAPITAL MARKETS INTELLIGENCE ON THE CANNABIS / HEMP / PSYCHEDELIC SECTORS
OUR 9TH YEAR OF PROVIDING PROPRIETARY CAPITAL MARKETS INTELLIGENCE ON THE CANNABIS / HEMP / PSYCHEDELIC SECTORS
Home » Week of 5/15/23-5/19/23
Credit ratings are not currently available for public cannabis companies leaving companies, lenders and investors with a gap of information. The Viridian Cannabis Credit Tracker fills this gap. The model uses 11 market and financial statement variables to discern 4 key credit factors: Liquidity, Leverage, Profitability, and Size, to provide credit/liquidity analysis for over 370 public Cannabis/Hemp companies.
The Viridian Credit Tracker utilizes 11 different bespoke credit ratios to evaluate four aspects of credit quality: Liquidity, Leverage, Profitability, and Size. We are looking at the extreme quartiles of our ratios to identify credit stresses. Liquidity continues to be tight for many of the sectors. Liquidity in the psychedelics sector has decreased with the release of Q1 numbers. The 3rd quartile of free cash flow adjusted current ratio for the 26 sector companies has risen from 4.5x to 5.0x, indicating excellent liquidity and ability to fund all current liabilities and cash burn for the year. The median value, however, is now -.17x indicating severe liquidity stress. More than ½ of the companies will need financing during the year. Will financing be available in a severely constrained capital market? The key will be positive momentum in clinical trials. Companies that show progress toward commercialization will likely find the financing to get there. But make no mistake, the environment is unforgiving, and those that stumble may not get up. The Viridian Chart of the Week looked at the stock trading liquidity to better gauge which companies are likely to be able to issue sufficient equity.
The Viridian Credit Tracker utilizes 11 different bespoke credit ratios to evaluate four aspects of credit quality: Liquidity, Leverage, Profitability, and Size. We are looking at the extreme quartiles of our ratios to identify credit stresses. Liquidity continues to be tight for many of the sectors. Liquidity in the psychedelics sector has decreased with the release of Q1 numbers. The 3rd quartile of free cash flow adjusted current ratio for the 26 sector companies has risen from 4.5x to 5.0x, indicating excellent liquidity and ability to fund all current liabilities and cash burn for the year. The median value, however, is now -.17x indicating severe liquidity stress. More than ½ of the companies will need financing during the year. Will financing be available in a severely constrained capital market? The key will be positive momentum in clinical trials. Companies that show progress toward commercialization will likely find the financing to get there. But make no mistake, the environment is unforgiving, and those that stumble may not get up. The Viridian Chart of the Week looked at the stock trading liquidity to better gauge which companies are likely to be able to issue sufficient equity.
*Marijuana remains illegal under federal law. The Federal Government does not recognize marijuana to have any medicinal values. Marijuana cultivation, possession, consumption, sales, and distribution are illegal under federal laws and also certain state laws. Please note that there are differences in marijuana laws from one state, county, or city to another.
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