OUR 9TH YEAR OF PROVIDING PROPRIETARY CAPITAL MARKETS INTELLIGENCE ON THE CANNABIS / HEMP / PSYCHEDELIC SECTORS
OUR 9TH YEAR OF PROVIDING PROPRIETARY CAPITAL MARKETS INTELLIGENCE ON THE CANNABIS / HEMP / PSYCHEDELIC SECTORS
Home » Week of 1/15/24-1/19/24
Credit ratings are not currently available for public cannabis companies leaving companies, lenders and investors with a gap of information. The Viridian Cannabis Credit Tracker fills this gap. The model uses 11 market and financial statement variables to discern 4 key credit factors: Liquidity, Leverage, Profitability, and Size, to provide credit/liquidity analysis for over 370 public Cannabis/Hemp companies.
Credit Stats in the Cultivation & Retail sector continue to benefit from increased equity prices. However, many companies continue to show unsustainable levels of debt. The median debt/ 2024 EBITDA for the 36 analyst-covered companies in our database is now 3.12x, a level that would be high but acceptable in the absence of 280e. The good news is that, with only a few exceptions like Ascend, which has significant 2025 debt maturities, the pressure to refinance debt has largely been pushed out to 2026. Debt, as a financing source, will become even more attractive post-rescheduling as interest expense will become tax deductible. After a DEA announcement, we expect moderate re-equitization based on catalyst-driven opportunities to raise equity at significantly higher levels.
Credit Stats in the Cultivation & Retail sector continue to benefit from increased equity prices. However, many companies continue to show unsustainable levels of debt. The median debt/ 2024 EBITDA for the 36 analyst-covered companies in our database is now 3.12x, a level that would be high but acceptable in the absence of 280e. The good news is that, with only a few exceptions like Ascend, which has significant 2025 debt maturities, the pressure to refinance debt has largely been pushed out to 2026. Debt, as a financing source, will become even more attractive post-rescheduling as interest expense will become tax deductible. After a DEA announcement, we expect moderate re-equitization based on catalyst-driven opportunities to raise equity at significantly higher levels.
*Marijuana remains illegal under federal law. The Federal Government does not recognize marijuana to have any medicinal values. Marijuana cultivation, possession, consumption, sales, and distribution are illegal under federal laws and also certain state laws. Please note that there are differences in marijuana laws from one state, county, or city to another.
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