OUR 9TH YEAR OF PROVIDING PROPRIETARY CAPITAL MARKETS INTELLIGENCE ON THE CANNABIS / HEMP / PSYCHEDELIC SECTORS

Mergers & Acquisitions

Mergers & Acquisitions Summary

Each week, Viridian publishes insights and analysis on completed M&A transactions in the prior week. Our analysis includes:

    • M&A Market Commentary
    • Public and Private Companies
    • Buyers & Sellers
    • YTD M&A Analysis
    • M&A by Industry Sector
    • Deal Structure and Valuation Analysis
    • Pending Deal Risk Arb Analysis
    • Valuation Gap Analysis

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Transaction Activities

Week ended 09/20/2024

  • Three deals closed this week, ended 9/20/24, with a total disclosed value of $26.53M. This is two more deals than this week last year, and a $21.05M higher disclosed total.

 

YTD Activities

  • YTD, 53 M&A transactions have closed with a total disclosed value of $450.98M, down sharply from the 89 deals for $1,306.58M in 2023. M&A is off to the lowest start of the last six years.

Pending Risk Deal Arb Analysis

    • Cansortium/RIV Arb Spread
      • The chart below shows the risk arb spread for the Cansortium/RIV merger announced on May 30, 2024. RIV shareholders are to get 1.245 Cansortium shares for each RIV share owned. The arb ended the week at approximately 19.92%, down sharply from last week, demonstrating market optimism about the deal closing. Shareholders of both companies have now approved the transaction by large majorities.

Valuation Gap Analysis

  • The Valuation Gap
  • The Valuation Gap measures the difference between the EV/ NTM EBITDA multiple for the largest MSOs and the same multiple for the next smaller group. This measure has been a significant driver of M&A activity since a larger gap creates an opportunity for more accretive transactions.
  • The companies used in the large-cap index now include Cresco (CL: CSE), Curaleaf (CURA: CSE), Green Thumb (GTII: CSE), TerrAscend (TSND: TSX), Trulieve (TRUL: CSE), and Verano (VRNO: CSE). The small company index now includes Ascend (AAWH: OTCQX), AYR (AYR.A: CSE), Cannabist (CBST: Cboe), Front (FFNT: CSE), Jushi (JUSHF: OTCQX), and Schwazze (SHWX: OTC)
  • The gap increased by 1bps to 0.50 on 9/20/24, remaining close to the lows set in May 2023. Following the DEA announcement, it reached a recent peak of 3.55 on April 30. At 1.15, the gap indicates that, in the aggregate, the climate is relatively inhospitable for transactions in which Tier 1 MSOs purchase Tier 2 MSOs. This may not be the case for individual combinations, however, as there are broad valuation metric spreads between the companies in each tier. For example, TerrAscend, GTI, and Curaleaf all trade well above the Tier one average, while Ascend trades well below the Tier 2 average.

  • Cansortium/RIV Arb Spread
    • The chart below shows the risk arb spread for the Cansortium/RIV merger announced on May 30, 2024. RIV shareholders are to get 1.245 Cansortium shares for each RIV share owned. The arb ended the week at approximately 19.92%, down sharply from last week, demonstrating market optimism about the deal closing. Shareholders of both companies have now approved the transaction by large majorities.

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